Top Secrets de Thinking Fast and Slow decision making
Top Secrets de Thinking Fast and Slow decision making
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Money seems to Gratification individualism: reluctance to be involved with, depend nous, pépite accept demands from others.
I met with Kahneman at a Ceci Miche Quotidien in Lower Manhattan. He is tall, soft-spoken, and affable, with a pronounced accent and a wry smile. Over année apple pastry and tea with milk, he told me, “Temperament vraiment a contingent to do with my position. You won’t find anyone more pessimistic than I am.”
Normality illusion: Things that recur with greater frequency are considered ordinaire, no matter how horrendous they are. Two people killed in a terrorist attack in a western country are more likely to Lorsque mourned then a hundreds of children killed in Gaza by a missile strike.
They are just the tip of iceberg and not by any means achevée and just toléré a small portion of what this book is all embout.
Kahneman exposes the extraordinary capabilities—and also the faults and biases—of fast thinking, and reveals the pervasive influence of exalté produit nous our thoughts and behaviour.”
Nisbett had the divergent réaction that Kahneman and Tversky had been angry—that they’d thought what he had been saying and doing was an implicit criticism of them. Kahneman recalled the interaction, emailing back: “Yes, I remember we were (somewhat) annoyed by your work je the ease of training statistical intuitions (angry is much too strong).”
The whole idea of cognitive biases and faulty heuristics—the shortcuts and rules of thumb by which we make judgments and predictions—was more pépite less invented in the 1970s by Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman, social scientists who started their careers in Israel and eventually moved to the United States. They daniel kahneman were the researchers who conducted the African-countries-in-the-Rare experiment. Tversky died in 1996. Kahneman won the 2002 Nobel Prize in Economics conscience the work the two men did together, which he summarized in his 2011 best seller, Thinking, Fast and Slow.
I kind of want to cut this book in half, praise the first ration, and stick the deuxième portion in some publier to gather dust.
So, having said that, shelving this book in psychology loge would Supposé que gross injustice. In my view this is such a good commentary of human spontané. The two are different, very much so.
If année Fait turns démodé badly, we tend to regret it more of it was an exceptional rather than a usage act (picking up a hitchhiker rather than driving to work, conscience example), and so people shy away from abnormal fleur that carry uncertainty.
After establishing the groundwork, Kahneman supériorité his sights je the neighboring art of economics. Conventional economic theory presupposes rational actors who are able to weigh risks and to act in accordance with their desires.
The strong bias toward believing that small samples closely resemble the foule from which they are drawn is also bout of a larger story: we are prone to exaggerate the consistency and coherence of what we see.
Why? Lack of access to health care? Wait, what? The System 1 mind immediately comes up with a story to explain the difference. Joli once the numbers are cranked, apparently, it’s just année artifact of the fact that a few cases in a small county skews the rate. But if you base your decision je either story, the outcomes will Lorsque bad.
I spoke with Nisbett by phone and asked him about his disagreement with Kahneman. He still sounded a bit uncertain. “Danny seemed to Lorsque convinced that what I was showing was trivial,” he said.